Baden vs Thalwil: result 4-1 and analysis
1. Liga Classic - Group 3Group 3 - 9Kick-off on October 23, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Esp, Fislisbach
Full time
What was the result of Baden vs Thalwil?
Baden won 4-1 on October 23, 2021.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baden have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Thalwil have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | Eschen / Mauren(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Tuggen(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Balzers(home) | 6-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Uzwil(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Winterthur II(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | Gossau(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Lugano II(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Eschen / Mauren(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Linth(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 15, 2021 | Balzers(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Baden score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Thalwil score 1.9 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baden | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Thalwil | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baden sit 2nd in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 (7 points from 3 matches) and Thalwil sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Baden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Thalwil | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy