Bærum vs Valerenga: result 5-3 and analysis
NM Cupen3rd RoundKick-off on June 19, 2019 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AJ Arena, Sandvika
Full time
What was the result of Bærum vs Valerenga?
Bærum won 5-3 on June 19, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 8′A. DønnumValerenga
- 35′C. EjukeValerenga
- 41′Jan Christian Egseth AubertBærum (pen.)
- 52′C. IfejilikaBærum
- 56′Martin André BergBærum
- 61′A. KidaneBærum
- 73′M. VilhjálmssonValerenga
- 80′A. RoguljBærum
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Bærum have 5 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Valerenga have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2019 | Mjølner(home) | 3-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Senja(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Asane(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| May 25, 2019 | Asker(away) | 4-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| May 22, 2019 | Notodden(home) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2019 | Rosenborg(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| May 25, 2019 | Lillestrom(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| May 22, 2019 | Eidsvold(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| May 16, 2019 | Stromsgodset(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| May 12, 2019 | Ranheim(away) | 5-1 | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Bærum score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 12; Valerenga score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bærum | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/12 | 7/12 |
| Valerenga | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy