Bahia vs Itabuna: result 4-1 and analysis
Baiano - 1Semi-finalsKick-off on March 18, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Itabuna?
Bahia won 4-1 on March 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 14′EveraldoBahia (pen.)
- 52′CaulyBahia
- 55′EveraldoBahia
- 77′CesinhaItabuna (pen.)
- 86′CaulyBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Itabuna have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | Fluminense PI(away) | 1-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Itabuna(away) | 0-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 8, 2023 | Camboriú(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Vitoria(home) | 1-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 2, 2023 | Jacuipense(away) | 4-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Bahia(home) | 4-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Bahia de Feira(away) | 0-4 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Doce Mel(home) | 1-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Atlético Alagoinhas(away) | 0-0 | Baiano - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bahia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Itabuna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Itabuna 1-0 Bahia | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Itabuna 4-0 Bahia | Baiano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Itabuna score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Itabuna | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 9 | 23 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy