Baicoi vs Valenii de Munte: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Petrolul, Băicoi
The Footlab model makes Baicoi the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Valenii de Munte. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baicoi vs Valenii de Munte?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Baicoi (1,417) and Valenii de Munte (1,318).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baicoi have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Valenii de Munte have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Berca(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Săcele(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Berca(away) | 2-5 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 2-7 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Baicoi win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Valenii de Munte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Valenii de Munte 0-2 Baicoi | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Valenii de Munte 1-1 Baicoi | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Baicoi 1-1 Valenii de Munte | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Valenii de Munte vs Baicoi on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baicoi score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Valenii de Munte score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baicoi | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Valenii de Munte | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baicoi vs Valenii de Munte?
- The Footlab model makes Baicoi the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Valenii de Munte.
- Where and when is Baicoi vs Valenii de Munte played?
- Baicoi vs Valenii de Munte is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Petrolul, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.