Bakı vs Qarabag: result 2-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 15, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Bakı vs Qarabag?
Bakı won 2-1 on December 15, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 60′D. ČesnauskisBakı
- 73′R. ƏliyevBakı
- 76′U. KapolongoQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bakı have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2013 | Sumqayıt(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 4, 2013 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Nov 30, 2013 | İnter Bakı(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 22, 2013 | Khazar Lankaran(home) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 10, 2013 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2013 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 4, 2013 | Şüvəlan(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Simurq(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Rəvan(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Şüvəlan(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bakı win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2013 | Qarabag 3-0 Bakı | Premyer Liqa |
| May 14, 2013 | Qarabag 3-1 Bakı | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 21, 2013 | Bakı 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Bakı 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Qarabag 1-1 Bakı | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Qarabag 2-4 Bakı | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Bakı score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bakı | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy