Balatonalmádi vs Tatabánya: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Balatonalmádi Sportközpont, Balatonalmádi
The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Balatonalmádi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balatonalmádi vs Tatabánya?
Tatabánya starts as the favourite with a 287-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,320).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Balatonalmádi have 2 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Tatabánya have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | MTE 1904(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Haladás VSE(away) | 1-6 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dorogi FC(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Komárom(home) | 1-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kapuvari SE(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Sopron(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bicskei(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puskás II(away) | 4-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Balatonalmádi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tatabánya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2023 | Balatonalmádi 0-3 Tatabánya | Magyar Kupa |
Last archived meeting: Balatonalmádi vs Tatabánya on Aug 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Balatonalmádi score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 13; Tatabánya score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balatonalmádi | 1.3 | 2.7 | 3 | 5/13 | 9/13 |
| Tatabánya | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balatonalmádi sit 17th in NB III - Northwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Tatabánya sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tatabánya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 17 | Balatonalmádi | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balatonalmádi vs Tatabánya?
- The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Balatonalmádi.
- Where and when is Balatonalmádi vs Tatabánya played?
- Balatonalmádi vs Tatabánya is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Balatonalmádi Sportközpont, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.