Bangkok vs Buriram United: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 32Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Minburi 72nd Anniversary Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab AI model makes Buriram United the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Bangkok. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bangkok vs Buriram United?
Buriram United is a heavy favourite: 1,943 Elo points against 1,382, a 561-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bangkok vs Buriram United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bangkok
4-3-3- 10W. Pornprasart
- 9A. Maundee
- 71A. Mutic
- 7C. Chappuis
- 18W. Manoworn
- 19Wachirawut Phudithip
- 14S. Koomgun
- 36S. Mool-on
- 3T. Rungrampan
- 5K. Praniti
- 45Y. Sukcharoen
Buriram United
3-5-2- 7Bissoli
- 30S. Schimmer
- 19K. Schindler
- 2S. Haiprakhon
- 37Darlan
- 23G. Čaušić
- 55T. Bunmathan
- 16K. Dougall
- 39J. Praisuwan
- 5Nathan
- 13N. Etheridge
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangkok have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Buriram United have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(away) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Nakhon Si Thammarat(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 2-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | DPU Thayang FC(home) | 8-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Bangkok win, 0 draws, 0 Buriram United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024 | Bangkok 5-4 Buriram United | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Bangkok vs Buriram United on Feb 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bangkok score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangkok | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bangkok vs Buriram United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bangkok vs Buriram United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buriram United the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Bangkok.
- Where and when is Bangkok vs Buriram United played?
- Bangkok vs Buriram United is played on December 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Minburi 72nd Anniversary Stadium, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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