Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Bazaly, Slezská Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava II the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ústí nad Labem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Baník Ostrava II (1,869) and Ústí nad Labem (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Ostrava II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ústí nad Labem have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 4-1 | FNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Táborsko(home) | 1-2 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kladno(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vlašim(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Varnsdorf(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dukla Praha(home) | 3-1 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Třinec(away) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 3-3 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Baník Ostrava II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ústí nad Labem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Baník Ostrava II 1-2 Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Ústí nad Labem 4-1 Baník Ostrava II | FNL |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Ostrava II score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Labem score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ústí nad Labem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Ostrava II sit 5th in FNL (47 points from 30 matches) and Ústí nad Labem sit 4th (48 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 48 |
| 5 | Baník Ostrava II | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava II the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ústí nad Labem.
- Where and when is Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem played?
- Baník Ostrava II vs Ústí nad Labem is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Bazaly, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.