Baník Ostrava vs Slovan Liberec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Slovan Liberec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Slovan Liberec?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Baník Ostrava (1,918) and Slovan Liberec (1,987).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Ostrava have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Slovan Liberec have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Baník Ostrava win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Slovan Liberec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Slovan Liberec 1-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 0-2 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Slovan Liberec 0-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Baník Ostrava 2-0 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Baník Ostrava 2-2 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Slovan Liberec 3-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Liberec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Slovan Liberec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Ostrava sit 10th in Czech Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Slovan Liberec sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Slovan Liberec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Ostrava vs Slovan Liberec?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Slovan Liberec.
- Where and when is Baník Ostrava vs Slovan Liberec played?
- Baník Ostrava vs Slovan Liberec is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.