Barcelona B vs Castellón II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Johan Cruyff, Sant Joan Despí
The Footlab model makes Barcelona B the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Castellón II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barcelona B vs Castellón II?
Barcelona B starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barcelona B have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Castellón II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Torrent(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Olot(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Girona II(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Barcelona B win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Castellón II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | Castellón II 2-2 Barcelona B | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Barcelona B 4-0 Castellón II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Castellón II vs Barcelona B on Feb 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barcelona B score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón II score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona B | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Castellón II | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barcelona B vs Castellón II?
- The Footlab model makes Barcelona B the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Castellón II.
- Where and when is Barcelona B vs Castellón II played?
- Barcelona B vs Castellón II is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Johan Cruyff, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.