Barillas vs Santa Lucía: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionAperturaKick-off on September 18, 2016 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Enrique Mérida Cardona, Santa Cruz Barillas
Full time
What was the result of Barillas vs Santa Lucía?
Santa Lucía won 0-1 on September 18, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barillas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Santa Lucía have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2016 | Deportivo Reu(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Deportivo Chiantla(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 28, 2016 | San Pedro(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 24, 2016 | Siquinalá(home) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 22, 2016 | Rosario(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2016 | Iztapa(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Nueva Concepción(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Deportivo Reu(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 24, 2016 | Deportivo Chiantla(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 21, 2016 | San Pedro(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Barillas win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Santa Lucía win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2016 | Santa Lucía 3-0 Barillas | Primera Division |
| Jan 27, 2016 | Barillas 1-0 Santa Lucía | Primera Division |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Barillas 2-1 Santa Lucía | Primera Division |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Santa Lucía 4-1 Barillas | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Santa Lucía vs Barillas on Mar 13, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Barillas score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Lucía score 0.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barillas | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Santa Lucía | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santa Lucía | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 21 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy