Barnsley U21 vs Bolton Wanderers Res.: prediction and stats
Professional Development LeagueGroup StageKick-off on November 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Barnsley U21 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Bolton Wanderers Res.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley U21 vs Bolton Wanderers Res.?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Barnsley U21 (1,732) and Bolton Wanderers Res. (1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley U21 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Bolton Wanderers Res. have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Charlton Athletic U21(home) | 2-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(away) | 2-1 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday U21(away) | 0-4 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Colchester United U21(home) | 4-0 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Crewe Alexandra U21(away) | 2-5 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Charlton Athletic U21(away) | 1-0 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Queens Park Rangers U21(away) | 1-4 | Premier League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bolton Wanderers Res. score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley U21 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bolton Wanderers Res. | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley U21 sit 1st in Professional Development League (4 points from 2 matches) and Bolton Wanderers Res. sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnsley U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers Res. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley U21 vs Bolton Wanderers Res.?
- The Footlab model makes Barnsley U21 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Bolton Wanderers Res..
- Where and when is Barnsley U21 vs Bolton Wanderers Res. played?
- Barnsley U21 vs Bolton Wanderers Res. is played on November 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Professional Development League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026Bolton Wanderers Res.vsCoventry City U21
- Sep 1, 2026Huddersfield Town U21vsQueens Park Rangers U21
- Sep 1, 2026Fleetwood Town U21vsMillwall U21
- Sep 1, 2026Charlton Athletic U21vsWigan Athletic U21
- Sep 1, 2026Bristol City U21vsSheffield United U21
- Sep 1, 2026Hull City U21vsSwansea City U21
- Sep 1, 2026Colchester United U21vsBarnsley U21
- Sep 1, 2026Cardiff City U21vsSheffield Wednesday U21