Barnsley U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21: prediction and stats
Professional Development LeagueGroup StageKick-off on December 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Barnsley U21 the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Fleetwood Town U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
Barnsley U21 starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,730 vs 1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley U21 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Fleetwood Town U21 have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Charlton Athletic U21(home) | 2-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(away) | 2-1 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday U21(away) | 0-4 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Colchester United U21(home) | 4-0 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Crewe Alexandra U21(away) | 2-5 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Coventry City U21(away) | 2-1 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Preston North End U21(home) | 1-2 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Colchester United U21(home) | 0-4 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Swansea City U21(home) | 0-1 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | AFC Bournemouth U21(home) | 2-6 | Professional Development League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Barnsley U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fleetwood Town U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Barnsley U21 4-2 Fleetwood Town U21 | Professional Development League |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Fleetwood Town U21 1-2 Barnsley U21 | Professional Development League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Fleetwood Town U21 2-1 Barnsley U21 | Professional Development League |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Barnsley U21 3-3 Fleetwood Town U21 | Professional Development League |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Fleetwood Town U21 2-4 Barnsley U21 | Professional Development League |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Barnsley U21 3-2 Fleetwood Town U21 | Professional Development League |
Last archived meeting: Barnsley U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fleetwood Town U21 score 1.5 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley U21 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Fleetwood Town U21 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley U21 sit 3rd in Professional Development League (4 points from 2 matches) and Fleetwood Town U21 sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Barnsley U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?
- The Footlab model makes Barnsley U21 the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Fleetwood Town U21.
- Where and when is Barnsley U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 played?
- Barnsley U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 is played on December 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Professional Development League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026Sheffield Wednesday U21vsWigan Athletic U21
- Sep 13, 2026Sheffield Wednesday U21vsCharlton Athletic U21
- Sep 13, 2026Queens Park Rangers U21vsFleetwood Town U21
- Sep 14, 2026Swansea City U21vsHuddersfield Town U21
- Sep 14, 2026Sheffield United U21vsCardiff City U21
- Sep 15, 2026Coventry City U21vsBarnsley U21
- Sep 15, 2026Peterborough United U21vsBristol City U21
- Sep 15, 2026Millwall U21vsBolton Wanderers Res.