Barnsley vs Cambridge United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cambridge United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley vs Cambridge United?
Cambridge United starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,977 vs 1,842).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnsley vs Cambridge United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 10B. Touré
- 8C. McGeehan
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 19R. Cleary
- 48L. Connell
- 30Jonathan Bland
- 6C. O'Riordan
- 4S. Gale
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 25Rogan Ravenhill
Cambridge United
3-4-2-1- 14G. Yahyai
- 17P. Mpanzu
- 10B. Knight
- 8O. Moxon
- 7Isaac Heath
- 4D. Ball
- 27G. McConnell
- 6K. Watts
- 22Z. Bradshaw
- 3Callum Perry
- 1J. Eastwood
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cambridge United have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 3-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Reading(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Barnsley wins, 2 draws, 1 Cambridge United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Barnsley 1-1 Cambridge United | League One |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Cambridge United 1-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Barnsley 0-2 Cambridge United | League One |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Cambridge United 0-4 Barnsley | League One |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Barnsley 2-0 Cambridge United | League One |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Cambridge United 0-3 Barnsley | League One |
Last archived meeting: Barnsley vs Cambridge United on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cambridge United score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Cambridge United | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley sit 18th in League One (8 points from 7 matches) and Cambridge United sit 6th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cambridge United | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Barnsley vs Cambridge United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Cambridge United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Barnsley vs Cambridge United played?
- Barnsley vs Cambridge United is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.