Match

Barnsley vs Plymouth: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire

BarnsleyPlymouth

The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plymouth wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,085 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barnsley vs Plymouth?

Plymouth starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,697).

22%23%55%
Barnsley winDrawPlymouth win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Barnsley vs Plymouth

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Barnsley

4-2-3-1
  1. 7T. Adeyemo
  1. 8C. McGeehan
  2. 19R. Cleary
  3. 45Vimal Yoganathan
  4. 22Patrick Kelly
  5. 48L. Connell
  1. 2A. Kay
  2. 5J. Shepherd
  3. 4S. Gale
  4. 3Z. Larkeche
  1. 1C. Slicker

Plymouth

3-4-3
  1. 9W. Evans
  2. 27A. Pepple
  3. 10X. Amaechi
  1. 7H. White
  2. 8J. Edwards
  3. 19T. Bakinson
  4. 14O. Irow
  1. 45W. Harding
  2. 15A. Mitchell
  3. 5Julio Pleguezuelo
  1. 1M. Mahoney

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 09:43 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Plymouth have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barnsley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Aldershot Town(home)7-2FA Cup
Oct 31, 2026Oxford United(home)1-1League One
Oct 24, 2026Reading(away)1-2League One
Oct 20, 2026Luton(away)1-2League One
Oct 17, 2026Cambridge United(home)1-2League One
Plymouth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Alvechurch(home)4-0FA Cup
Oct 31, 2026Reading(home)0-0League One
Oct 24, 2026Cambridge United(away)3-2League One
Oct 20, 2026Stevenage(away)0-3League One
Oct 17, 2026Huddersfield(home)0-2League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Barnsley wins, 0 draws, 3 Plymouth wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Plymouth 3-0 BarnsleyLeague One
Apr 6, 2026Barnsley 0-3 PlymouthLeague One
Aug 2, 2025Plymouth 1-3 BarnsleyLeague One
Mar 11, 2023Barnsley 3-0 PlymouthLeague One
Jul 30, 2022Plymouth 1-0 BarnsleyLeague One
Apr 22, 2019Plymouth 0-3 BarnsleyLeague One

Last archived meeting: Plymouth vs Barnsley on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barnsley score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barnsley1.92.4014/1513/15
Plymouth2.01.256/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barnsley sit 23rd in League One (9 points from 12 matches) and Plymouth sit 5th (23 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Plymouth14725211923
23Barnsley1223712229

A question about Barnsley vs Plymouth?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Plymouth?
The Footlab AI model makes Plymouth the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Barnsley.
Where and when is Barnsley vs Plymouth played?
Barnsley vs Plymouth is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Barnsley and Plymouth

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