Where and when is Barnsley vs Plymouth played?

Barnsley vs Plymouth is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Barnsley vs Plymouth: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire

Barnsley

Plymouth

The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barnsley vs Plymouth?

Plymouth starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,791).

Barnsley win21 %

Draw23 %

Plymouth win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Plymouth have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barnsley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Doncaster(away)	0-0	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Bromley(home)	0-1	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Wigan(home)	1-1	League Cup
Aug 2, 2026	Guiseley AFC(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Lincoln(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Plymouth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wycombe(away)	1-1	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Stockport County(home)	1-3	League One
Aug 10, 2026	Exeter City(home)	2-0	League Cup
Aug 4, 2026	Tavistock(away)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Bristol City(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Barnsley win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Plymouth win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 6, 2026	Barnsley 0-3 Plymouth	League One
Aug 2, 2025	Plymouth 1-3 Barnsley	League One
Mar 11, 2023	Barnsley 3-0 Plymouth	League One
Jul 30, 2022	Plymouth 1-0 Barnsley	League One
Apr 22, 2019	Plymouth 0-3 Barnsley	League One
Oct 2, 2018	Barnsley 1-1 Plymouth	League One

Last archived meeting: Barnsley vs Plymouth on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barnsley score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Barnsley	1.1	1.1	5	7/15	7/15
Plymouth	2.1	0.9	6	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barnsley sit 21st in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Plymouth sit 22nd (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
21	Barnsley	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
22	Plymouth	2	0	1	1	2	4	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Plymouth?: The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Barnsley.
Where and when is Barnsley vs Plymouth played?: Barnsley vs Plymouth is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.