Basake Holy Stars vs Heart of Lions: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, Nzema Anyinase
The Footlab model makes Basake Holy Stars the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Heart of Lions. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basake Holy Stars vs Heart of Lions?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Basake Holy Stars (1,516) and Heart of Lions (1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basake Holy Stars have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Heart of Lions have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Dreams(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Samartex(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karela(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Basake Holy Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Heart of Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Heart of Lions 3-0 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| May 18, 2025 | Basake Holy Stars 0-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Heart of Lions 3-1 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Basake Holy Stars vs Heart of Lions on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basake Holy Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basake Holy Stars | 0.7 | 1.0 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Heart of Lions | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basake Holy Stars sit 12th in Premier League (46 points from 34 matches) and Heart of Lions sit 14th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Basake Holy Stars | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 46 |
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basake Holy Stars vs Heart of Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Basake Holy Stars the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Heart of Lions.
- Where and when is Basake Holy Stars vs Heart of Lions played?
- Basake Holy Stars vs Heart of Lions is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.