Match

Bashundhara Kings vs Arambagh: prediction and stats

Federation CupGroup StageKick-off on December 1, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Bashundhara Kings Arena, Dhaka

Bashundhara KingsArambagh

The Footlab AI model makes Bashundhara Kings the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Arambagh. The most likely score is 4-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bashundhara Kings vs Arambagh?

Bashundhara Kings is a heavy favourite: 1,643 Elo points against 1,172, a 472-point gap.

93%5%2%
Bashundhara Kings winDrawArambagh win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bashundhara Kings vs Arambagh

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bashundhara Kings

4-3-3
  1. 21M. Dangi
  2. 7Rakib Hossain
  3. 10Robinho
  1. 32R. Chand
  2. 44M. Miah Zoni
  3. 8M. Ridoy
  1. 15M. T. Uddin
  2. 28M. Yousuf Ali
  3. 3A. Molla
  4. 2S. Tripura
  1. 1M. Srabon

Arambagh

4-3-3
  1. 7S. R. Khan
  2. 20M. Pradhan
  3. 11K. Kizito
  1. 14S. Joy Tanchangy
  2. 40A. Cishty
  3. 15Joy Kumar
  1. 2M. Rocky
  2. 5Mahamudul Kiron
  3. 4Mohammed Suleman
  4. 12N. Uddin
  1. 1A. Hossen

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bashundhara Kings have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Arambagh have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bashundhara Kings
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Dhaka Wanderers(home)7-0Premier League
Oct 6, 2026Dhaka Wanderers(away)5-0Federation Cup
Sep 19, 2026Arambagh(away)1-1Premier League
May 23, 2026Fakirerpool(home)4-1Premier League
May 20, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka(home)3-2Federation Cup
Arambagh
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka(away)0-6Premier League
Oct 6, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka(away)1-3Federation Cup
Oct 3, 2026Rahmatgonj MFS(home)2-2Premier League
Sep 19, 2026Bashundhara Kings(home)1-1Premier League
May 23, 2026Abahani(home)0-4Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bashundhara Kings wins, 1 draw, 0 Arambagh wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Arambagh 1-1 Bashundhara KingsPremier League
Apr 11, 2026Bashundhara Kings 2-1 ArambaghPremier League
Apr 7, 2026Arambagh 0-5 Bashundhara KingsFederation Cup
Nov 24, 2025Arambagh 0-2 Bashundhara KingsPremier League
Aug 12, 2021Arambagh 0-1 Bashundhara KingsPremier League
Feb 16, 2021Bashundhara Kings 6-1 ArambaghPremier League

Last archived meeting: Arambagh vs Bashundhara Kings on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bashundhara Kings score 3.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arambagh score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bashundhara Kings3.00.769/1510/15
Arambagh0.82.336/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Bashundhara Kings vs Arambagh?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bashundhara Kings vs Arambagh?
The Footlab AI model makes Bashundhara Kings the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Arambagh.
Where and when is Bashundhara Kings vs Arambagh played?
Bashundhara Kings vs Arambagh is played on December 1, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Bashundhara Kings Arena, in the Federation Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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