Bastia vs Caen: result 1-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on January 28, 2017 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Armand-Césari, Furiani
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What was the result of Bastia vs Caen?
Bastia and Caen drew 1-1 on January 28, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 26′A. Saint-MaximinBastia
- 45′R. RodelinCaen (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bastia have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Caen have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2017 | Nice(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Nancy(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 0-7 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 21, 2016 | Marseille(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Rennes(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2017 | Nantes(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 15, 2017 | Lyon(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 8, 2017 | Sainte Geneviève(away) | 3-0 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 21, 2016 | Monaco(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 18, 2016 | Metz(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bastia win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Caen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2016 | Caen 2-0 Bastia | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Caen 0-0 Bastia | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Bastia 1-0 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| May 16, 2015 | Bastia 1-1 Caen | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 20, 2014 | Caen 1-1 Bastia | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 16, 2014 | Bastia 3-2 Caen | Coupe de la Ligue |
How many goals should we expect?
Bastia score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Caen score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Caen | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy