Bastia vs Le Mans: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 2Regular Season - 3Kick-off on August 12, 2011 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Armand-Césari, Furiani
Full time
What was the result of Bastia vs Le Mans?
Bastia won 1-0 on August 12, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 61′J. ChoplinBastia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Bastia have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Le Mans have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2011 | Nantes(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 29, 2011 | Istres(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 22, 2011 | Istres(away) | 2-3 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2011 | Istres(away) | 2-0 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Aug 5, 2011 | Tours(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 29, 2011 | Arles(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 22, 2011 | Arles(home) | 1-0 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| May 20, 2011 | Vannes(away) | 3-4 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bastia score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 3; Le Mans score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| Le Mans | 1.1 | 0.7 | 10 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bastia sit 17th in Ligue 2 (28 points from 34 matches) and Le Mans sit 2nd (62 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Le Mans | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50 | 31 | 62 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23 | 39 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy