Bavois vs Bellinzona: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Peupliers, Bavois
The Footlab model makes Bavois the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Bellinzona. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bavois vs Bellinzona?
Bavois starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bavois have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bellinzona have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Servette FC(home) | 0-7 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotkreuz(away) | 1-4 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bavois win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bellinzona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bellinzona 0-2 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Bavois 0-1 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Bellinzona 2-0 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Bavois 0-0 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Bellinzona 0-0 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Bavois 3-2 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Bavois score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bellinzona score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bavois | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bellinzona | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bavois sit 10th in 1. Liga Promotion (5 points from 4 matches) and Bellinzona sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bavois | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bavois vs Bellinzona?
- The Footlab model makes Bavois the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Bellinzona.
- Where and when is Bavois vs Bellinzona played?
- Bavois vs Bellinzona is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Peupliers, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.