Belenenses vs Estrela: result 1-3 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 6, 2022 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional, Jamor, Oeiras
Full time
What was the result of Belenenses vs Estrela?
Estrela won 1-3 on November 6, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 22′Gustavo HenriqueEstrela
- 56′Nuno TomásBelenenses
- 62′João SilvaEstrela
- 79′PaulinhoEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belenenses have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Estrela have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2022 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Benfica B(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Torreense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Olhanense(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Farense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2022 | Vilafranquense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 15, 2022 | SC Covilha(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Torreense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Belenenses score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belenenses | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Estrela | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy