Bellinzona vs Lugano II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, Bellinzona
The Footlab AI model makes Bellinzona the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lugano II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bellinzona wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bellinzona vs Lugano II?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Bellinzona (1,484) and Lugano II (1,478).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bellinzona vs Lugano II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bellinzona
Not enough data to predict the Bellinzona lineup.
Lugano II
Not enough data to predict the Lugano II lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bellinzona have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Lugano II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Collina d'Oro(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 10, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Zürich II(away) | 1-6 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bellinzona(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paradiso(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bellinzona win, 1 draw, 0 Lugano II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lugano II 1-1 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Bellinzona 2-1 Lugano II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Lugano II vs Bellinzona on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bellinzona score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano II score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellinzona | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lugano II | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bellinzona sit 17th in 1. Liga Promotion (9 points from 14 matches) and Lugano II sit 15th (13 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lugano II | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 13 |
| 17 | Bellinzona | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 9 |
A question about Bellinzona vs Lugano II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bellinzona vs Lugano II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bellinzona the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lugano II.
- Where and when is Bellinzona vs Lugano II played?
- Bellinzona vs Lugano II is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.