Beluša vs MŠK Senec: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 28Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Štadión TJ Kovo Beluša, Beluša
The Footlab model makes Beluša the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for MŠK Senec. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beluša vs MŠK Senec?
Beluša starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,670 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beluša have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; MŠK Senec have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rača(home) | 4-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sokol Borský Mikuláš(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Duslo Šaľa(away) | 3-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | DAC II(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | DAC II(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Malacky(away) | 2-1 | 3. liga - West |
| May 30, 2026 | Rača(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Beluša win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 MŠK Senec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Beluša 1-1 MŠK Senec | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 22, 2025 | MŠK Senec 1-0 Beluša | 3. liga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Beluša score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; MŠK Senec score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beluša | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| MŠK Senec | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Beluša | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 49 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beluša vs MŠK Senec?
- The Footlab model makes Beluša the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for MŠK Senec.
- Where and when is Beluša vs MŠK Senec played?
- Beluša vs MŠK Senec is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Štadión TJ Kovo Beluša, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.