Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ben Aknoun, Ben Aknoun
The Footlab model makes Ben Aknoun the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for USM Alger. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Ben Aknoun (1,871) and USM Alger (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ben Aknoun have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; USM Alger have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Olympique Akbou(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2026 | Mostaganem(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ben Aknoun win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 USM Alger win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ben Aknoun 2-2 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | USM Alger 2-2 Ben Aknoun | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2024 | USM Alger 0-2 Ben Aknoun | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Ben Aknoun 1-2 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger on Jun 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ben Aknoun score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Aknoun | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ben Aknoun sit 8th in Ligue 1 (43 points from 30 matches) and USM Alger sit 10th (39 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ben Aknoun | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 43 |
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
- The Footlab model makes Ben Aknoun the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for USM Alger.
- Where and when is Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger played?
- Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ben Aknoun, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.