Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes: prediction and stats
NPFLRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Uniben Sport Complex, Benin City
The Footlab AI model makes Bendel Insurance the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Niger Tornadoes. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?
On Elo ratings, Bendel Insurance has 1,704 points and Niger Tornadoes 1,633.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bendel Insurance
4-3-3- 11C. Nwosu
- 21K. Oke Solomon
- 37E. Ubiomo
- 4E. Julius
- 8F. Abdullahi
- 10J. Mairiga
- 14D. Chigozie
- 28G. Lekan
- 23S. Okoroma
- 35C. Amaefule
- 12A. Obasogie
Niger Tornadoes
4-3-3- 20I. Sadiq
- 9I. Seriki
- 32B. Usman
- 14I. Okoye
- 15R. Mendos
- 17I. Abubakar
- 21Y. Abdulazeez
- 5S. Akinmoladun
- 3M. Aliyu
- 23U. Audu
- 13D. Julu
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bendel Insurance have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Niger Tornadoes have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Kwara United(away) | 2-1 | NPFL |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rivers United(home) | 2-1 | NPFL |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Lagos(away) | 1-2 | NPFL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Barau FC(home) | 4-1 | NPFL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Abia Warriors(away) | 0-3 | NPFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Barau FC(home) | 0-0 | NPFL |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Abia Warriors(away) | 1-0 | NPFL |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ikorodu City(home) | 2-1 | NPFL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ranchers Bees(away) | 0-0 | NPFL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kun Khalifat FC(home) | 1-0 | NPFL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bendel Insurance wins, 3 draws, 1 Niger Tornadoes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Niger Tornadoes 2-2 Bendel Insurance | NPFL |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Bendel Insurance 1-0 Niger Tornadoes | NPFL |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Bendel Insurance 3-0 Niger Tornadoes | NPFL |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Niger Tornadoes 1-1 Bendel Insurance | NPFL |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Bendel Insurance 1-3 Niger Tornadoes | NPFL |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Niger Tornadoes 0-0 Bendel Insurance | NPFL |
Last archived meeting: Niger Tornadoes vs Bendel Insurance on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bendel Insurance score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Niger Tornadoes score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bendel Insurance | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Niger Tornadoes | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bendel Insurance sit 7th in NPFL (15 points from 9 matches) and Niger Tornadoes sit 5th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
A question about Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bendel Insurance the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Niger Tornadoes.
- Where and when is Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes played?
- Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Uniben Sport Complex, in the NPFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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