Besa Kavajë vs Kastrioti Krujë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Luz i Vogël, Luz i Vogël
The Footlab model makes Besa Kavajë the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Kastrioti Krujë. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Besa Kavajë vs Kastrioti Krujë?
Besa Kavajë starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,641 vs 1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Besa Kavajë have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Kastrioti Krujë have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 11, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| May 7, 2026 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë(away) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Lushnja(away) | 4-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Luftëtari(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(away) | 0-4 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Laci(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Besa Kavajë win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kastrioti Krujë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë 2-3 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Kastrioti Krujë 2-1 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Besa Kavajë 1-1 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Kastrioti Krujë 2-3 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Kastrioti Krujë 0-1 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Besa Kavajë 3-0 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Kastrioti Krujë vs Besa Kavajë on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Besa Kavajë score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kastrioti Krujë score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besa Kavajë | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kastrioti Krujë | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Besa Kavajë sit 5th in 1st Division (39 points from 33 matches) and Kastrioti Krujë sit 6th (39 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Besa Kavajë | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 43 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti Krujë | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 57 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Besa Kavajë vs Kastrioti Krujë?
- The Footlab model makes Besa Kavajë the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Kastrioti Krujë.
- Where and when is Besa Kavajë vs Kastrioti Krujë played?
- Besa Kavajë vs Kastrioti Krujë is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Luz i Vogël, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.