BFC Daugavpils vs Liepājas Metalurgs II: result 1-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on July 28, 2012 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
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What was the result of BFC Daugavpils vs Liepājas Metalurgs II?
BFC Daugavpils and Liepājas Metalurgs II drew 1-1 on July 28, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, BFC Daugavpils have 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Liepājas Metalurgs II have 7, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2012 | Jelgava II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 22, 2012 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 9, 2012 | Auda(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 2, 2012 | Metta II / Salaspils(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2012 | 1625 Liepāja(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 22, 2012 | Skonto II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 16, 2012 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 28, 2012 | Spartaks II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 18, 2012 | Ventspils II(away) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Daugavpils score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 10; Liepājas Metalurgs II score 2.6 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | 1.6 | 0.7 | 5 | 5/10 | 5/10 |
| Liepājas Metalurgs II | 2.6 | 0.6 | 4 | 4/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy