BGA vs Fredensborg BI: result 0-1 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on August 31, 2013 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Glostrup Idrætspark, Glostrup
Full time
What was the result of BGA vs Fredensborg BI?
Fredensborg BI won 0-1 on August 31, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BGA have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Fredensborg BI have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2013 | Lyngby(home) | 0-5 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Avedøre(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2013 | FA 2000(away) | 1-4 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2013 | Allerød(away) | 2-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 10, 2013 | BSF(home) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2013 | Øresund OKF(away) | 2-0 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Ledøje-Smørum(home) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 13, 2013 | Brønshøj(home) | 0-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 10, 2013 | Frederikssund(away) | 2-2 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Allerød(away) | 4-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
BGA score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fredensborg BI score 1.7 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Fredensborg BI | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy