BGA vs Herlev: result 3-4 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2013 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Glostrup Idrætspark, Glostrup
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What was the result of BGA vs Herlev?
Herlev won 3-4 on September 20, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BGA have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Herlev have 4, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2013 | Jægersborg(away) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Sep 7, 2013 | Virum-Sorgenfri(home) | 2-3 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Fredensborg BI(home) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 28, 2013 | Lyngby(home) | 0-5 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Avedøre(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2013 | Øresund OKF(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Sep 7, 2013 | LSF(away) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Frederikssund(home) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2013 | AB Tårnby(away) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2013 | B 1903(away) | 2-0 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
BGA score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Herlev score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGA | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Herlev | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Herlev | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy