BGA vs Virum-Sorgenfri: result 3-1 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 8, 2012 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Glostrup Idrætspark, Glostrup
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What was the result of BGA vs Virum-Sorgenfri?
BGA won 3-1 on September 8, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, BGA have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Virum-Sorgenfri have 1, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | LSF(home) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 28, 2012 | B 93(away) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Frederikssund(home) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2012 | Lyngby(home) | 1-6 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 11, 2012 | B 1903(away) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | Kastrup(home) | 0-3 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 25, 2012 | LSF(home) | 0-3 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Avedøre(home) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2012 | Rishøj(home) | 0-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 11, 2012 | B 93(away) | 1-0 | Denmark Series - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
BGA score 0.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 5; Virum-Sorgenfri score 0.4 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGA | 0.2 | 2.4 | 0 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| Virum-Sorgenfri | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy