Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, Bitlis
The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Talasgücü Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Bitlis Özgüzelderespor (1,547) and Talasgücü Belediyespor (1,579).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Talasgücü Belediyespor have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2025 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Hakkari Zapspor(home) | 2-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 0-3 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home) | 3-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(home) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Talasgücü Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Talasgücü Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Talasgücü Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor played?
- Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Yeni MalatyasporvsYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
- Nov 1, 2026AdanasporvsKırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
- Nov 1, 2026Kırşehir BelediyesporvsKaraköprü Belediyespor
- Nov 1, 2026Ağrı 1970vsOsmaniyespor
- Nov 1, 2026Karaman FKvsYeşilyurt Belediyespor
- Nov 1, 2026Silifke BelediyesporvsMazıdağı Fosfatspor
- Nov 1, 2026Niğde BelediyesisporvsAdana Adaletgucu
- Nov 1, 2026Yozgat Bld BozoksporvsDiyarbekirspor