Match

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, Bitlis

Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporYeni Malatyaspor

The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,558 vs 1,344).

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win58 %
Draw24 %
Yeni Malatyaspor win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Yeni Malatyaspor have 0, 2 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2025Karaköprü Belediyespor(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası
Oct 9, 20241954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home)1-1Türkiye Kupası
Sep 11, 2024Hakkari Zapspor(home)2-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 15, 2022Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away)0-3Türkiye Kupası
Aug 29, 2019Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası
Yeni Malatyaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2025Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Nov 2, 2025Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 25, 20251461 Trabzon FK(home)0-42. Lig
Oct 19, 2025Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 11, 2025Aliağa FAŞ(away)1-82. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor1.31.525/85/8
Yeni Malatyaspor0.64.519/1512/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
Where and when is Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor played?
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Malatyaspor is played on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bitlis Özgüzelderespor and Yeni Malatyaspor

Ready to know everything about football?