BKMA II vs Ararat II: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Yerevan Football Academy, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes BKMA II the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Ararat II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BKMA II vs Ararat II?
BKMA II is a heavy favourite: 1,621 Elo points against 1,282, a 339-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BKMA II vs Ararat II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BKMA II
Not enough data to predict the BKMA II lineup.
Ararat II
Not enough data to predict the Ararat II lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BKMA II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Ararat II have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Araks Ararat(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Andranik(home) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sardarapat 2(away) | 4-0 | First League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bentonit Ijevan(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Banants II(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Pyunik II(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Noah II(away) | 4-0 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Olympia Yerevan(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Shirak II(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Araks Ararat(away) | 1-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 BKMA II wins, 0 draws, 0 Ararat II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | BKMA II 4-0 Ararat II | First League |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Ararat II 2-4 BKMA II | First League |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Ararat II 0-2 BKMA II | First League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | BKMA II 6-0 Ararat II | First League |
| May 16, 2024 | Ararat II 1-3 BKMA II | First League |
| Oct 30, 2023 | BKMA II 3-1 Ararat II | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
BKMA II score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat II score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKMA II | 2.1 | 0.9 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Ararat II | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BKMA II sit 2nd in First League (16 points from 8 matches) and Ararat II sit 11th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BKMA II | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 11 | Ararat II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
A question about BKMA II vs Ararat II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BKMA II vs Ararat II?
- The Footlab AI model makes BKMA II the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Ararat II.
- Where and when is BKMA II vs Ararat II played?
- BKMA II vs Ararat II is played on October 9, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.