BKMA vs FC Noah: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yerevan Football Academy, Yerevan
The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for BKMA. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BKMA vs FC Noah?
FC Noah is a heavy favourite: 1,916 Elo points against 1,487 — a 430-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BKMA have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; FC Noah have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ararat(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 26, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 BKMA win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 FC Noah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BKMA 0-1 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | FC Noah 2-0 BKMA | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | BKMA 0-2 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | FC Noah 2-3 BKMA | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | BKMA 1-5 FC Noah | Premier League |
| Apr 9, 2025 | FC Noah 3-0 BKMA | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
BKMA score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Noah score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKMA | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Noah | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BKMA sit 10th in Premier League (1 points from 4 matches) and FC Noah sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | BKMA | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BKMA vs FC Noah?
- The Footlab model makes FC Noah the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for BKMA.
- Where and when is BKMA vs FC Noah played?
- BKMA vs FC Noah is played on April 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.