Match

Bo'ness United vs Brechin: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Newtown Park, Bo'ness

Bo'ness UnitedBrechin

The Footlab model makes Brechin the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Bo'ness United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bo'ness United vs Brechin?

Brechin starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,683 vs 1,540).

Bo'ness United win30 %
Draw22 %
Brechin win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bo'ness United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Brechin have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bo'ness United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Musselburgh Athletic(away)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Civil Service Strollers(home)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Gala Fairydean Rovers(away)3-1Football League - Lowland League
Jul 28, 2026Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home)0-4Football League - Lowland League
Jul 25, 2026Tranent Juniors(home)1-2Football League - Lowland League
Brechin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Civil Service Strollers(away)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Berwick Rangers(home)4-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away)2-1Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026East Stirlingshire(away)3-3Football League - Lowland League
Jul 25, 2026Forfar Athletic(away)1-3League Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Bo'ness United score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Brechin score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bo'ness United1.41.9111/1510/15
Brechin1.52.1310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bo'ness United sit 17th in Football League - Lowland League (7 points from 5 matches) and Brechin sit 11th (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Brechin431011710
17Bo'ness United5212897

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bo'ness United vs Brechin?
The Footlab model makes Brechin the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Bo'ness United.
Where and when is Bo'ness United vs Brechin played?
Bo'ness United vs Brechin is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Newtown Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bo'ness United and Brechin

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