Bo'ness United vs Brechin: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Newtown Park, Bo'ness
The Footlab model makes Brechin the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Bo'ness United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bo'ness United vs Brechin?
Brechin starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,683 vs 1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bo'ness United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Brechin have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Musselburgh Athletic(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 0-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tranent Juniors(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(home) | 4-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(away) | 3-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Bo'ness United score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Brechin score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo'ness United | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Brechin | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bo'ness United sit 17th in Football League - Lowland League (7 points from 5 matches) and Brechin sit 11th (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Brechin | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 17 | Bo'ness United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bo'ness United vs Brechin?
- The Footlab model makes Brechin the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Bo'ness United.
- Where and when is Bo'ness United vs Brechin played?
- Bo'ness United vs Brechin is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Newtown Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers