BOA vs Joinville: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 18, 2014 at 11:50 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Prefeito Dilzon Luiz de Melo, Varginha, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of BOA vs Joinville?
BOA won 1-0 on November 18, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 62′Tomas BastosBOA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BOA have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Joinville have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Nov 7, 2014 | America-RN(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Ceara(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2014 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-4 | Serie B |
| Oct 21, 2014 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | Ponte Preta(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 4, 2014 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 28, 2014 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 24, 2014 | Avai(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 21, 2014 | ABC(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 BOA win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Joinville win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2014 | Joinville 2-1 BOA | Serie B |
| Oct 15, 2013 | BOA 1-0 Joinville | Serie B |
| Jul 30, 2013 | Joinville 2-3 BOA | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Joinville 3-0 BOA | Serie B |
| Jul 1, 2012 | BOA 0-0 Joinville | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
BOA score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 1.7 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOA | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Joinville | 1.7 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy