BOA vs Parana: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 21, 2014 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Prefeito Dilzon Luiz de Melo, Varginha, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of BOA vs Parana?
BOA won 1-0 on September 21, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 28′Tomas BastosBOA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BOA have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Parana have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2014 | Portuguesa(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2014 | America Mineiro(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 9, 2014 | ABC(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 2, 2014 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 26, 2014 | Icasa(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2014 | Ceara(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Santa Cruz(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 9, 2014 | Joinville(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 2, 2014 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2014 | America-RN(away) | 3-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 BOA win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Parana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2014 | Parana 0-0 BOA | Serie B |
| Nov 8, 2013 | BOA 3-2 Parana | Serie B |
| Aug 13, 2013 | Parana 3-1 BOA | Serie B |
| Oct 6, 2012 | BOA 2-1 Parana | Serie B |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Parana 2-0 BOA | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
BOA score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Parana score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOA | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Parana | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy