BOA vs São Caetano: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 17Kick-off on August 15, 2012 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Prefeito Dilzon Luiz de Melo, Varginha, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of BOA vs São Caetano?
São Caetano won 1-3 on August 15, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 16′Leandro Costa Miranda MoraesSão Caetano
- 34′Leandro Costa Miranda MoraesSão Caetano
- 55′Marcelo Macedo FerreiraBOA
- 90′José Thomaz Geovane de OliveiraSão Caetano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BOA have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; São Caetano have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2012 | Goias(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | America-RN(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2012 | Ceara(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2012 | America Mineiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2012 | Criciuma(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2012 | Vitoria(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 29, 2012 | Ipatinga(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Grêmio Barueri(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
BOA score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; São Caetano score 1.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOA | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| São Caetano | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy