Bognor Regis Town vs AFC Sudbury: result 2-2 and analysis
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on November 1, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MKM Arena, Bognor Regis, West Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Bognor Regis Town vs AFC Sudbury?
Bognor Regis Town and AFC Sudbury drew 2-2 on November 1, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bognor Regis Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Sudbury have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2014 | Lewes(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Lewes(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Hayes & Yeading United(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Chippenham Town(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Thurrock(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | Whitstable Town(away) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 13, 2014 | FC Romania(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 2, 2014 | Redbridge(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Redbridge(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 19, 2013 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Bognor Regis Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Sudbury score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bognor Regis Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| AFC Sudbury | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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