Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ďolíček, Praha
The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Bohemians 1905. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha?
Sparta Praha starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,936).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bohemians 1905 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Praha have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sokol Zápy(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bohemians 1905 win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Sparta Praha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bohemians 1905 2-0 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Sparta Praha 1-0 Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Bohemians 1905 1-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Bohemians 1905 1-3 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Sparta Praha 2-0 Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bohemians 1905 score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bohemians 1905 sit 11th in Czech Liga (5 points from 4 matches) and Sparta Praha sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Bohemians 1905.
- Where and when is Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha played?
- Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ďolíček, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.