Bolívar vs Atletico Avila FC: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Decanato UDO Bolívar, Bolívar
The Footlab model makes Bolívar the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Atletico Avila FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolívar vs Atletico Avila FC?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Bolívar (1,474) and Atletico Avila FC (1,427).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolívar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico Avila FC have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz(home) | 1-2 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Monagas II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aragua FC(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mineros de Guyana(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Monagas II(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Petare FC(home) | 1-0 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aragua FC(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Petare FC(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bolívar win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atletico Avila FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Atletico Avila FC 0-0 Bolívar | Segunda División |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bolívar 2-2 Atletico Avila FC | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Avila FC vs Bolívar on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bolívar score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Avila FC score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolívar | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico Avila FC | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolívar sit 3rd in Segunda División (21 points from 14 matches) and Atletico Avila FC sit 7th (12 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bolívar | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Bolívar | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 27 |
| 7 | Atletico Avila FC | 14 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Avila FC | 18 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolívar vs Atletico Avila FC?
- The Footlab model makes Bolívar the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Atletico Avila FC.
- Where and when is Bolívar vs Atletico Avila FC played?
- Bolívar vs Atletico Avila FC is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Decanato UDO Bolívar, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.