Bolívar vs Aurora: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 6Kick-off on March 12, 2023 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
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What was the result of Bolívar vs Aurora?
Bolívar won 1-0 on March 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 80′Pablo HervíasBolívar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolívar have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Aurora have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Blooming(away) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Jorge Wilstermann(away) | 1-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Feb 18, 2023 | The Strongest(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Royal Pari(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2023 | The Strongest(home) | 1-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Jorge Wilstermann(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bolívar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Aurora win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2022 | Aurora 1-4 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Bolívar 5-1 Aurora | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2021 | Aurora 1-1 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Aurora 0-1 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Feb 13, 2020 | Bolívar 3-0 Aurora | Primera División |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Bolívar 5-0 Aurora | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolívar score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolívar | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Aurora | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolívar sit 4th in Primera División (14 points from 8 matches) and Aurora sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bolívar | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 33 |
| 3 | Aurora | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Bolívar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Aurora | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy