Where and when is Bolton Wanderers Res. vs Southampton U21 played?

Bolton Wanderers Res. vs Southampton U21 is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Lancashire FA County Ground, in the Premier League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bolton Wanderers Res. vs Southampton U21: prediction and stats

Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Lancashire FA County Ground, Leyland, Lancashire

Bolton Wanderers Res.

Southampton U21

The Footlab model makes Bolton Wanderers Res. the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Southampton U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bolton Wanderers Res. vs Southampton U21?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Bolton Wanderers Res. (1,733) and Southampton U21 (1,801).

Bolton Wanderers Res. win45 %

Draw23 %

Southampton U21 win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Bolton Wanderers Res. have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Southampton U21 have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bolton Wanderers Res.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Colchester United U21(home)	7-0	Professional Development League
Aug 18, 2026	Charlton Athletic U21(away)	1-0	Professional Development League
Aug 14, 2026	Queens Park Rangers U21(away)	1-4	Premier League Cup

Southampton U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	West Ham United U21(away)	0-0	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Truro City(away)	1-2	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Blackburn Rovers U21(home)	4-0	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Sutton Utd(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Maidenhead(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Bolton Wanderers Res. score 3.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 3; Southampton U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bolton Wanderers Res.	3.0	1.3	2	1/3	2/3
Southampton U21	1.6	1.5	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bolton Wanderers Res. vs Southampton U21?: The Footlab model makes Bolton Wanderers Res. the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Southampton U21.
Where and when is Bolton Wanderers Res. vs Southampton U21 played?: Bolton Wanderers Res. vs Southampton U21 is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Lancashire FA County Ground, in the Premier League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.