Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Civil Service Strollers: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ferguson Park, Rosewell
The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Civil Service Strollers. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Civil Service Strollers?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,440).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Civil Service Strollers have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bo'ness United(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home) | 4-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Civil Service Strollers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Civil Service Strollers 1-5 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 Civil Service Strollers | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 2, 2024 | Civil Service Strollers 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-0 Civil Service Strollers | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Civil Service Strollers 3-2 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Nov 10, 2020 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 Civil Service Strollers | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Civil Service Strollers vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Civil Service Strollers score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Civil Service Strollers | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic sit 9th in Football League - Lowland League (12 points from 5 matches) and Civil Service Strollers sit 16th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 12 |
| 16 | Civil Service Strollers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Civil Service Strollers?
- The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Civil Service Strollers.
- Where and when is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Civil Service Strollers played?
- Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Civil Service Strollers is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ferguson Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers