Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Musselburgh Athletic: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ferguson Park, Rosewell
The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Musselburgh Athletic. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Musselburgh Athletic?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,561).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Musselburgh Athletic have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bo'ness United(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lochee United(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunipace(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Musselburgh Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Musselburgh Athletic 0-3 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Musselburgh Athletic vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Musselburgh Athletic score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Musselburgh Athletic | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic sit 9th in Football League - Lowland League (12 points from 5 matches) and Musselburgh Athletic sit 23rd (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 12 |
| 23 | Musselburgh Athletic | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Musselburgh Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Musselburgh Athletic.
- Where and when is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Musselburgh Athletic played?
- Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Musselburgh Athletic is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ferguson Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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