Borussia Dortmund II vs Borussia M'gladbach II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 24Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Borussia M'gladbach II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund II (1,961) and Borussia M'gladbach II (1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia M'gladbach II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Bocholt(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Borussia Dortmund II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Borussia M'gladbach II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II 2-1 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Borussia M'gladbach II 1-4 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Borussia Dortmund II 5-1 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Borussia M'gladbach II vs Borussia Dortmund II on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia M'gladbach II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Borussia M'gladbach II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 3 matches) and Borussia M'gladbach II sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund II vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Borussia M'gladbach II.
- Where and when is Borussia Dortmund II vs Borussia M'gladbach II played?
- Borussia Dortmund II vs Borussia M'gladbach II is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rote Erde, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Sportfreunde LottevsWestfalia Rhynern
- Mar 6, 2027SG Wattenscheid 09vsPaderborn II
- Mar 6, 2027Rot-weiss OberhausenvsHilden
- Mar 6, 2027Köln IIvsBonner SC
- Mar 6, 2027WiedenbrückvsSV Rodinghausen
- Mar 6, 2027Sportfreunde SiegenvsFC Bocholt
- Mar 6, 2027FC GuterslohvsSchalke 04 II
- Mar 6, 2027Bochum IIvsBergisch Gladbach