Borussia Hildesheim vs Verden 04: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 3Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Friedrich-Ebert-Stadion, Hildesheim
The Footlab model makes Borussia Hildesheim the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Verden 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Hildesheim vs Verden 04?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Borussia Hildesheim (1,701) and Verden 04 (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Hildesheim have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Verden 04 have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordhorn(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(away) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 13, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hemmingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vorsfelde(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 10, 2026 | Meppen II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Borussia Hildesheim win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Verden 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Verden 04 3-0 Borussia Hildesheim | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Borussia Hildesheim 5-1 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Verden 04 1-1 Borussia Hildesheim | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Borussia Hildesheim 2-2 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Verden 04 vs Borussia Hildesheim on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Hildesheim score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Verden 04 score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Hildesheim | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Verden 04 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Hildesheim sit 16th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (0 points from 2 matches) and Verden 04 sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Verden 04 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Borussia Hildesheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Hildesheim vs Verden 04?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Hildesheim the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Verden 04.
- Where and when is Borussia Hildesheim vs Verden 04 played?
- Borussia Hildesheim vs Verden 04 is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Friedrich-Ebert-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.