Boston United vs Southampton U21: prediction and stats
National League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Southampton U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston United vs Southampton U21?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Boston United (1,793) and Southampton U21 (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Southampton U21 have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 2-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(away) | 0-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Blackburn Rovers U21(home) | 4-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Boston United score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston United | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Southampton U21 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston United vs Southampton U21?
- The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Southampton U21.
- Where and when is Boston United vs Southampton U21 played?
- Boston United vs Southampton U21 is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Jakemans Community Stadium, in the National League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Hartlepool0-10Middlesbrough U21
- Aug 18, 2026FC Halifax Town6-2Derby County U21
- Aug 18, 2026Sutton Utd0-0Leicester City U21
- Aug 18, 2026Boreham Wood5-2Leeds United U21
- Aug 18, 2026Scunthorpe4-0Stoke City U21
- Aug 18, 2026Solihull Moors1-3Middlesbrough U21
- Aug 18, 2026Gateshead1-1Nottingham Forest U21
- Aug 18, 2026Truro City2-1Southampton U21