Boston United vs Tamworth: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Tamworth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston United vs Tamworth?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Boston United (1,793) and Tamworth (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Tamworth have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 2-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 5-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Boston United win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Tamworth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Boston United 0-0 Tamworth | National League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Tamworth 1-1 Boston United | FA Trophy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tamworth 1-3 Boston United | National League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Tamworth 3-0 Boston United | National League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Boston United 1-1 Tamworth | National League |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Tamworth 1-1 Boston United | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Boston United vs Tamworth on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boston United score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tamworth score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston United | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Tamworth | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boston United sit 6th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Tamworth sit 22nd (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Boston United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston United vs Tamworth?
- The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Tamworth.
- Where and when is Boston United vs Tamworth played?
- Boston United vs Tamworth is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Jakemans Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.