Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Marcel-Verchère, Bourg-en-Bresse
The Footlab model makes Concarneau the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Bourg-en-bresse 01. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Bourg-en-bresse 01 (1,705) and Concarneau (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bourg-en-bresse 01 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Concarneau have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Quevilly(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Laval(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bourg-en-bresse 01 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Concarneau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Concarneau 0-1 Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-2 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-0 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Concarneau 2-1 Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Ligue 3 |
| May 19, 2023 | Concarneau 3-2 Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 16, 2023 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 3-2 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Concarneau vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Concarneau score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Concarneau | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 14th in Ligue 3 (3 points from 3 matches) and Concarneau sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Concarneau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
- The Footlab model makes Concarneau the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Bourg-en-bresse 01.
- Where and when is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau played?
- Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau is played on September 26, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Marcel-Verchère, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.